TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 1:53 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Atlétic Club d'Escaldes and FC Vaduz, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlétic Club d'Escaldes" if Atlétic Club d'Escaldes score more goals than FC Vaduz in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Atlétic Club d'Escaldes and FC Vaduz score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Vaduz" if FC Vaduz score more goals than Atlétic Club d'Escaldes in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Atlétic Club d'Escaldes and FC Vaduz, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlétic Club d'Escaldes" if Atlétic Club d'Escaldes score more goals than FC Vaduz in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Atlétic Club d'Escaldes and FC Vaduz score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Vaduz" if FC Vaduz score more goals than Atlétic Club d'Escaldes in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set fixed lines designed to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets allow traders to continuously adjust prices based on real-time information and collective belief. Prediction markets can respond faster to breaking news, team updates, or tactical shifts, sometimes offering sharper or more reactive pricing than traditional sportsbooks. However, sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like sharp-money signals or proprietary models. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment on this market differs from professional oddsmakers' views.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the cumulative positions and recent trades of all participants; as more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price rises, and vice versa. Prices converge toward 100 cents as the resolution date approaches and uncertainty decreases. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and your trade price depends on the current state of the order book and liquidity available at that moment.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the second half result is final and verifiable from credible public reporting of the match. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official result recorded by the relevant football authorities or widely recognized sports data providers. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares, and prices may shift as new information emerges. After resolution, all positions are settled according to the actual outcome, and traders receive payouts proportional to their correct predictions.
Several factors could shift prices in this market before resolution. Team news—such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup announcements—often triggers sharp repricing. Tactical adjustments revealed in pre-match interviews or first-half performance can reshape expectations for the second half. Weather conditions, referee assignments, or venue factors may also influence trader sentiment. Early first-half momentum, goals scored, or red cards can dramatically alter the perceived likelihood of each outcome. Additionally, any official statements from clubs or governing bodies, as well as real-time match commentary, will likely prompt traders to reassess and adjust their positions accordingly.