TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 1:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Atlétic Club d'Escaldes and FC Vaduz, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Atlétic Club d'Escaldes and FC Vaduz, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. For this market, prediction market odds may price in subtler tactical or injury factors that traditional sportsbooks overlook, or they may lag behind if the crowd hasn't fully processed recent news. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue undervalues or overvalues a particular exact score relative to the other.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that calculates odds based on the ratio of shares held in each outcome pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy shares of the exact score they believe will occur, and the price adjusts dynamically as the pool composition changes. Higher trading volume typically narrows the spread between bid and ask prices, making it cheaper to enter or exit a position. The top outcome currently reflects strong conviction among traders, though prices can shift rapidly if new information emerges or large trades move the pool balance.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals scored by each team at the end of regular time. No adjustments are made for extra time or penalty shootouts unless the match format explicitly includes them as part of the official result. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to settle their positions and move on to subsequent events.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly reprrice exact score odds, as can recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day. Major betting syndicates or sharp traders entering large positions often trigger rapid price swings as the crowd reacts to their conviction. Closer to kickoff, late-breaking roster updates or venue changes can reshape expectations around scoring patterns. Real-time match events like early goals or red cards will also drive sharp repricing as traders update their probability estimates based on live play.