TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Atletico Morelia and Club Atletico La Paz. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated scoring intensity of the game without influencing its actual result.
The event determines whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Atletico Morelia vs Club Atletico La Paz professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match scheduled for July 25, 2026, exceed specified thresholds after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market corresponds to a different threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals exceed the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each evaluates the same match under its respective threshold. The rules clarify that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set the odds for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent different possible goal totals. The current implied probability — shown as a percentage — reflects the collective judgment of all participants on Kalshi. As the match date approaches and new data appears, such as lineup changes or recent team performance, these prices can shift rapidly to reflect updated expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Morelia vs La Paz match — specifically the total number of goals scored by both teams — will determine which contracts pay out. No additional interpretation or external calculation is needed beyond the officially recorded match result.
Key signals that could shift prices in this market include major player injuries, weather forecasts affecting match conditions, changes to coaching strategies, and recent scoring performance trends for both teams. Any announcement impacting the likely pace or openness of the match — such as tactical formations or referee assignments — may also cause traders to adjust their positions. As these updates roll out, the market’s implied probabilities will respond accordingly.