TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 8:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 5.5 total goals will be scored in regulation time – 90 minutes plus stoppage time – in the Atletico Mineiro versus Santos CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 5.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of this match, as reported by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve following the conclusion of the match originally scheduled for September 16, 2026, with a resolution date estimate of September 17, 2026.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered on the total goals scored during the regulation time of the Atletico Mineiro versus Santos match in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana tournament scheduled for September 16, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals—ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals—and resolves to 'Yes' if the cumulative goals meet or exceed that threshold within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately, and none are contingent on the outcomes of others. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the event. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of the anticipated outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence price movements, reflecting the collective forecast of participants regarding the Atletico Mineiro vs Santos match.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Atletico Mineiro vs Santos match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total goals scored during regulation time only—any goals scored during extra time or a penalty shootout will not be counted. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether over 2.5 goals were scored, and therefore, the winning contracts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match takes place. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Atletico Mineiro or Santos would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also impact the expected goal total. Team lineup announcements, tactical adjustments, and even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators can all contribute to shifts in market sentiment. Any unexpected developments leading up to kickoff have the potential to move this market.