TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio: Spread
kalshi

Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio: Spread

Volume:
$17,051

Atletico Mineiro wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Atletico Mineiro wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 5:01 PM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Atletico Mineiro wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,039
N/A
N/A
$5,471
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atletico Mineiro wins by more than 2.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,351
N/A
N/A
$3,872
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atletico Mineiro wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,489
N/A
N/A
$1,484
Settled
No
kalshi

Gremio wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,195
N/A
N/A
$1,195
Settled
No
kalshi

Gremio wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$677
N/A
N/A
$671
Settled
No
kalshi

Atletico Mineiro wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of goals. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different winning margins for the Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for August 16, 2026. All outcomes are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct criteria are assessed: Atletico Mineiro winning by more than 2.5 goals, Atletico Mineiro winning by more than 1.5 goals, Gremio winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Gremio winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each criterion resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the required goal differential in their favor. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and lower liquidity of $17,051. While sportsbooks may set a line based on broader public betting trends and sharp money, prediction markets reflect the aggregated view of informed participants, potentially offering sharper or more volatile pricing.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set the price through their bets, which determines the current implied probability. The top outcome reflects the collective wisdom of participants, and any shifts in betting patterns will adjust the odds dynamically. Volume of $17,051 helps indicate how much activity is driving price changes.

This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result will be determined by official match statistics and announcements following the game’s conclusion, after which all positions are settled automatically.

In the run-up to Aug 17, 2026, anything that changes the perceived likelihood of the spread outcome — such as key player injuries, coaching decisions, or recent head-to-head performances — can shift this market. High-profile media coverage or analyst predictions may also influence trader sentiment, causing price adjustments as new information emerges.