TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 5:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of goals. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different winning margins for the Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for August 16, 2026. All outcomes are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct criteria are assessed: Atletico Mineiro winning by more than 2.5 goals, Atletico Mineiro winning by more than 1.5 goals, Gremio winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Gremio winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each criterion resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the required goal differential in their favor. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set the price through their bets, which determines the current implied probability. The top outcome reflects the collective wisdom of participants, and any shifts in betting patterns will adjust the odds dynamically. Volume of $17,051 helps indicate how much activity is driving price changes.
This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result will be determined by official match statistics and announcements following the game’s conclusion, after which all positions are settled automatically.
In the run-up to Aug 17, 2026, anything that changes the perceived likelihood of the spread outcome — such as key player injuries, coaching decisions, or recent head-to-head performances — can shift this market. High-profile media coverage or analyst predictions may also influence trader sentiment, causing price adjustments as new information emerges.