TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of goals. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates the outcome of the Atlas vs Monterrey professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for August 1, 2026, determining whether either team secures a victory by a specified goal margin. Four distinct criteria define resolution: Atlas winning by more than 2.5 goals, Atlas winning by more than 1.5 goals, Monterrey winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Monterrey winning by more than 2.5 goals. All assessments occur after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty phases. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the applicable rule if the stated condition is met; otherwise, it resolves 'No'. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the aggregated beliefs of informed traders rather than set benchmarks. In this market, the probability implied by trader activity may diverge from sportsbook spreads depending on recent performance, injuries, or other shifting factors. While sportsbooks set a fixed line, this market adjusts dynamically based on real-time trading, potentially offering sharper or more volatile pricing.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result and goal differential, which will be compared against the market’s defined spread to settle all positions. Timing depends on when authoritative sources confirm the final score.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions could shift expectations for the margin of victory and move this market. Additionally, strong recent form or motivational factors for either team may influence trader sentiment. As the match approaches, any news affecting lineup decisions or team dynamics is likely to cause price adjustments on Kalshi.