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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara
kalshi
polymarket

Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara

Volume:
$860,575

Guadalajara

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 11:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Guadalajara

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$368,747
N/A
N/A
$228,462
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CD Guadalajara

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$64,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atlas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$224,854
N/A
N/A
$141,929
Settled
No
polymarket

Atlas FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106,755
N/A
N/A
$56,129
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,883
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the professional Liga MX soccer match between Atlas FC and CD Guadalajara scheduled for March 7, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: Atlas FC victory, CD Guadalajara victory, or a draw. Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling divergence between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market YES if game is canceled with no makeup, while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no cancellation clause and implies all outcomes resolve YES, creating logical inconsistency.Hero tip: Monitor Liga MX official sources for any cancellation or postponement announcements. If cancellation occurs with no makeup game, Polymarket draw backers win while win backers lose—a rare asymmetry. Kalshi's ambiguity on cancellation may require platform clarification before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Atlas FC win (YES if Atlas wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise), Guadalajara win (YES if Guadalajara wins, NO otherwise). Explicit cancellation clause: if game canceled with no makeup, draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO. Postponement keeps markets open. Scope: 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution paths: all three outcomes (tie, Atlas win, Guadalajara win) resolve to YES. No explicit cancellation or postponement handling provided. Scope: 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.