TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This fixture allows bettors to speculate on whether one team achieves a decisive win with a goal advantage above particular levels. The outcome is calculated based solely on the final score difference within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
All markets resolve based on the goal difference in the Atlante vs Pachuca professional Liga MX soccer game scheduled for Sep 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. Markets specify conditions: Atlante must win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Pachuca must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the specified condition is met, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by trader opinions, theoretically providing a more accurate reflection of the true probability of an outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions surface, potentially leading to discrepancies. It’s common to see differences in the implied probabilities between the two, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Atlante vs Pachuca match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in a particular outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, making it a valuable indicator of expectations for the game’s outcome. The market’s depth and volume provide insights into the strength of these beliefs.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Atlante vs Pachuca match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the league, ensuring a transparent and objective determination. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual spread. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly, completing the market cycle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Atlante or Pachuca would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day might also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and the final spread. Even public opinion, reflected in analyst predictions or social media discussions, can contribute to price movements in this dynamic market.