TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Atlante FC vs. CF Monterrey
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Atlante FC vs CF Monterrey?

Volume:
$3,443,859

Atlante

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 11:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Atlante

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$667,700
N/A
N/A
$301,857
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Atlante FC

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$89,344
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Monterrey

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,798,883
N/A
N/A
$1,287,261
Settled
No
polymarket

CF Monterrey

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$179,021
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$687,029
N/A
N/A
$440,028
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Atlante FC vs. CF Monterrey)

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,883
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Liga MX soccer match between Atlante FC and CF Monterrey on September 25, 2026, forecasting which team will win within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of Atlante FC winning is 100.0%, while CF Monterrey winning has a 0.1% probability, aggregating data from Kalshi and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 25, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome and resolution of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines separate markets for each outcome (Atlante win, draw), while Kalshi has markets that resolve 'Yes' for any win (Atlante or Monterrey) or a draw. Polymarket also specifies a 'No' resolution for Monterrey if the game is canceled, while Kalshi's logic doesn't explicitly address cancellation.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading on Polymarket's Monterrey win market, as it will resolve 'No' if the game is canceled. Kalshi markets will remain open until the game is completed or played.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Separate markets for each outcome (Atlante win, Draw). Resolves 'No' if the game is canceled entirely. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'Yes'." (for draw) or 'No' (for Atlante/Monterrey).
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Atlante, Monterrey, or a Tie wins after 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit cancellation handling is stated, implying markets remain open until the game is played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Friday, September 25, 2026 between Atlante FC and CF Monterrey.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Atlante vs Monterrey professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for September 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Atlante wins, the 'Atlante' market resolves to Yes. If Monterrey wins, the 'Monterrey' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the regular time result.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting through financial rewards. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. While both attempt to predict the same event, the underlying mechanisms and participant motivations differ, resulting in potentially varied probabilities for the same outcome in this market.

Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, coaching changes, or even weather conditions could significantly impact predictions for the Atlante FC vs. Monterrey match. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical approaches could also shift market sentiment. Major upsets in related matches or changes in public perception of either team's chances could also contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market.