TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 1:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the final score of a Liga MX professional soccer match between Atlante FC and CF America scheduled for July 24, 2026. The resolution is based on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
The market resolves to Yes based on the exact final score of the Atlante FC vs CF America Liga MX match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolution is determined by comparing the actual match result to the specific score outcomes defined in the market rules. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. Own goals are credited to the team that benefits from the goal. The match must be played as originally scheduled on July 24, 2026, and resolution occurs only after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time has elapsed.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one price outcomes through continuous trading by informed participants who profit from accuracy. This market aggregates dispersed knowledge about the likely final score, sometimes revealing edges that traditional sportsbooks have not yet priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where public consensus and market-derived probabilities align or conflict.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible correct score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the willingness of buyers and sellers to transact at that level, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and liquidity. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting trends—traders adjust their bids and offers, causing prices to shift dynamically until the match concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the Atlante FC versus CF America match is complete and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final scoreline recorded at the end of regulation time. No adjustments are made for extra time or penalty shootouts unless the competition format explicitly requires them. Traders holding shares in the correct final score receive their payout once the result is confirmed.
Key catalysts that could shift prices in this market include team roster announcements, injury updates to star players, recent form and head-to-head records, weather conditions on match day, and any late-breaking tactical changes. Public betting trends and sharp money flowing into particular scorelines can also signal where informed traders see value. As kickoff approaches, live team news and official lineups typically trigger the sharpest repricing. Historical performance in similar matchups and league standings may influence how traders weight different score outcomes.