TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Atlanta vs San Francisco
kalshi
predict

Who will win Atlanta vs San Francisco?

Volume:
$5,106,028

San Francisco

 - Kalshi

San Francisco - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 6:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Francisco

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,936,786
N/A
N/A
$917,506
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atlanta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,166,972
N/A
N/A
$1,946,956
Settled
No
predict

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$2,271
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and San Francisco Giants scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET. Both platforms are pricing the same underlying match outcome, with resolution tied to which team wins the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (San Francisco wins OR Atlanta wins) are mapped to Yes, making the market unresolvable as a binary contract. Predict correctly resolves to the winning team name.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The market cannot settle fairly if both outcomes resolve identically. Predict's market is the only reliable settlement reference.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins. Logical error: both possible outcomes map to the same resolution state (Yes), violating binary market structure. Key Quote: 'If San Francisco wins...resolves to Yes. If Atlanta wins...resolves to Yes.'
  • Predict: Resolves to winning team name: Atlanta Braves or San Francisco Giants. Handles postponement (market stays open), cancellation/tie (50-50 split), and uses official MLB statistics as primary source. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Atlanta Braves if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to San Francisco Giants if the San Francisco Giants win the game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

This event covers the Atlanta vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. Resolution is determined by the final result of the game, with separate markets for each team's victory. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for June 28 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price the same event differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks balance action and manage liability, building in margins that protect their book. Prediction markets like those tracked here rely on trader consensus and real money at risk, often reflecting sharper, less-biased probabilities. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value: if prediction traders are pricing one side higher than the book, it may signal an edge. Both sources update dynamically, but prediction markets often move faster on breaking news.

Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence pricing. Kalshi may draw more casual forecasters, while Predict appeals to professional traders seeking tighter spreads. Order flow timing, platform-specific rules, and varying access to information can also create temporary gaps. These differences are normal and often arbitraged away quickly by alert traders. Monitoring both venues helps you spot mispricings and understand where the broader market truly stands on this matchup.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates can shift odds significantly in either direction. Recent team performance, head-to-head records, and momentum heading into the matchup often trigger repricing. Weather conditions, home-field advantage factors, and public betting patterns may also influence trader positioning. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions typically sparks rapid market movement. Monitor sports news outlets and team social channels for developments that could reshape expectations before the event concludes.