TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 9:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual team run production in the Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates game on July 8, 2026. Bettors can wager on whether each team will score above various run thresholds independently during the game.
The Atlanta vs Pittsburgh game scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT will be evaluated based on individual team run totals. Pittsburgh's run production is assessed against thresholds from 1.5 to 7.5 runs, while Atlanta's run production is assessed against thresholds from 1.5 to 7.5 runs. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the respective team's final run total exceeds the specified threshold by the end of the completed game.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what traders believe will happen, unfiltered by the profit margins and risk controls that sportsbooks apply. Over time, prediction market prices tend to converge toward actual outcomes because traders have financial incentive to forecast accurately. Comparing the two can reveal whether public or professional opinion leans bullish or bearish on the combined team total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders profit by correctly predicting whether the combined team total will land above or below the strike price, and the market price adjusts as new positions are entered and closed. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices move in response to news or shifting expectations. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery, so every trade reflects the marginal trader's belief about the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh game concludes and the final combined team total is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. At that point, traders holding the correct side of the prediction receive their payout, while those on the wrong side forfeit their stake. The resolution process is automatic once the event result is finalized and posted by official game records.
Several factors can shift this market's price before resolution. Injury announcements to key offensive players on either team will likely trigger sharp moves, since star contributors directly impact scoring volume. Weather forecasts closer to game day matter too—rain or wind can suppress combined points. Betting line movement at major sportsbooks often precedes prediction market shifts, as professional syndicates adjust positions. Team news, coaching decisions, and recent offensive or defensive performance trends also influence trader sentiment. Late-breaking roster changes or unexpected lineup adjustments can create volatility in the final hours before kickoff.