TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Aaron Rodgers in a specific football game, focusing on whether he achieves various passing yard thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on his actual playing statistics during the match.
These markets resolve based on whether Aaron Rodgers achieves specified passing yard thresholds in the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different yardage benchmark, ranging from 125 to 325 yards. If Rodgers meets or exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly across all markets: if Rodgers is listed as active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once Rodgers takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the total passing yards he records during the game. This ensures that the resolution reflects actual performance once gameplay begins, while protecting against scenarios where the player is present but does not participate.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market’s prices are determined by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines to attract action, this market continuously updates to reflect the collective belief of its traders regarding the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yardage ranges. The price of each contract indicates the probability of the actual passing yards falling within that range. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders reacting to news, injuries, and other factors that could influence the game's outcome, ultimately establishing a market-determined forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage statistics from the Atlanta versus Pittsburgh game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yards, as reported by the official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual passing yardage range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts outside that range will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor passing or running, could also influence trading activity. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or player matchups could lead to substantial shifts in the prices within this market.