TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns they achieve. It allows participants to speculate on whether a player will reach certain scoring milestones during the match. Outcomes are determined purely by the players' in-game statistics.
All markets in this event resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by specified quarterbacks during the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold for resolution (e.g., 1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+ touchdowns). If a quarterback is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of outcomes for each specified player and threshold.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market finds value relative to traditional betting options, and how public sentiment aligns with expert analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Atlanta versus Pittsburgh game’s passing touchdowns. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored in the Atlanta versus Pittsburgh game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts within Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official data verification.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either the Atlanta or Pittsburgh teams would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor or hinder passing offenses, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected lineup changes or strategic adjustments announced by either coaching staff could also shift expectations. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.