TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing completions achieved by specific quarterbacks in a football game, allowing participants to speculate on whether the players will meet or exceed certain completion thresholds.
The event evaluates whether specified quarterbacks achieve particular passing completion thresholds during the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Professional Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct completion threshold for either Aaron Rodgers or Tua Tagovailoa. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of passing completions recorded during the game. All markets are independent, and each has a unique threshold that must be met for a 'Yes' resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the insights of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can stem from varying levels of information, differing interpretations, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence. The market is entirely driven by supply and demand; buyers increase the price, and sellers decrease it, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions achieved during the game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to see the final result and the payout of their contracts shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also cause movement. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and drive price changes in this market.