TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting how many points each team will score in the first half of an upcoming football game. Bettors can choose specific point thresholds for either team, allowing for varied betting opportunities based on expected performance in the initial half of the match.
The markets collectively determine whether either Atlanta or Pittsburgh will exceed specified point thresholds in the first half of their scheduled game on September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold for each team—ranging from modest scores like over 2.5 points to very high benchmarks such as over 30.5 points. If the named team scores strictly more than the stated threshold in the first half, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect others. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently and accurately reflect new information as it becomes available, potentially offering a different perspective than standard betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a team exceeding their first-half point total. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% probability. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective belief of all participants, and it dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand for each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first-half team totals for both Atlanta and Pittsburgh will be used to determine whether each team exceeded their respective projected totals. The market will settle based on these official statistics, providing a clear and objective determination of the winning contracts. Traders will be able to see the final results and their respective payouts following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or changes in starting lineups for either Atlanta or Pittsburgh would likely cause significant movement. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also play a role. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could drive trading activity and alter the market price. Unexpected news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also contribute to price fluctuations.