TOTAL VOLUME:
$143b
24H VOL:
$111,424,783
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,661,467,257
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,630,632,565
494,234
Markets across
37,330
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Orlando wins by over 20.5 points
- Kalshi
Orlando wins by over 20.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 22, 2026
Time left: 05d:04h:18m
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This event tracks various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming professional basketball game, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team. The resolution depends solely on the final score difference, with specific thresholds defining each market's outcome. All markets share consistent secondary rules regarding game postponement or cancellation.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Atlanta vs Orlando Pro Basketball game scheduled for October 21, 2026. For Orlando markets, resolution occurs if Orlando wins by more than the specified point margin (ranging from 1.5 to 28.5 points). For Atlanta markets, resolution occurs if Atlanta wins by more than the specified point margin (ranging from 1.5 to 25.5 points). If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy 'yes' contracts (believing the spread will be as predicted) or 'no' contracts (believing it won't). The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure on 'yes' contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Atlanta vs Orlando game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the sport. Traders holding 'yes' contracts will receive a payout if the actual spread matches the contract's prediction, while 'no' contract holders will receive a payout if the spread differs. The specific payout amount is determined by the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Atlanta or Orlando teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements related to the game, such as venue changes or rule adjustments, could also move this market.