TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 3:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either the Atlanta or New York Y teams will score a run in the first inning of their professional baseball game. On Kalshi, the current probability for the leading outcome is 44.0%. The resolution source is the game's first inning on August 8, 2026. Watch for the start of the game on August 8, 2026 at 3:05 PM EDT, as this is when the event window opens and the outcome will be determined.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Atlanta vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 at 3:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by which team scores the first run in the opening inning of the game, as officially recorded in the box score and widely reported by sports news outlets.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include last-minute changes to starting pitchers, weather delays or alterations to game conditions, and recent performance trends for hitters and pitchers involved. Any news affecting team momentum or player availability may also cause traders on Kalshi to adjust their positions, moving the implied probability of which team will score first in the inning.