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406,065
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Closed: Sep 23, 10:17 PM EST
Kalshi
Two markets focus on which team will win the second half of a women's professional basketball game between Atlanta and New York. The outcomes depend solely on performance during that specific half of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods.
These markets resolve based on which team scores the most points during the second half of regulation time in the specified Atlanta vs New York women's Pro Basketball game. If both teams score equally, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes, and all team-specific markets resolve to No. Overtime periods are excluded from consideration. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days; if the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond this window, markets resolve at a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. As a result, you might find that prediction market prices offer a different perspective on the probability of each team winning the second half, potentially identifying discrepancies or inefficiencies compared to sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price discovery. The current price represents the collective assessment of all participants in this market regarding which team will win the second half.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the second half of the game will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the winning team will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Game performance during the first half, particularly if one team establishes a dominant lead, could also drive price movements. Unexpected strategic adjustments by either team during the second half, or even external factors like refereeing decisions, could all contribute to changes in the market price as traders react to new information and reassess the probabilities of each team winning the second half.