TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 11:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the combined run production between Atlanta and New York Mets throughout their June 12 game. Bettors can wager on whether the total runs scored will exceed various thresholds, ranging from 1.5 runs up to 11.5 runs.
Resolution is determined by the combined run total scored by both teams throughout the entire Atlanta vs New York Mets professional baseball game scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. Each outcome threshold represents a specific run total, with resolution to Yes occurring if the combined score exceeds that threshold. The market provides granular betting options across a wide range of potential scoring scenarios.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges closer to game time. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader trading community sees value relative to conventional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing different run-total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the balance of buy and sell orders at any given moment, with share prices ranging from $0 to $1 and implying a probability. As new trades execute, prices adjust in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at the prevailing market rate.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, once the game concludes and the final run total is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the combined runs scored by both teams across all innings, with no adjustments for extra innings or other complications unless explicitly stated in market rules. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final out, allowing traders to see confirmed results quickly.
Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, weather conditions, and injury updates affecting either team's offensive or defensive capabilities. In-game events such as early scoring, momentum shifts, and bullpen performance can drive sharp repricing as traders adjust their expectations for the final total. Breaking news about player availability or field conditions closer to game time may also trigger significant market movement as new information becomes public.