TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 4:29 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled for June 13, 2026. The event concerns whether either team will score a run during the first inning of play.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Atlanta vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 13, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets reward accurate forecasters directly. For the Atlanta vs New York M: First Inning Run event, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook offerings can reveal where the crowd sees value. Prediction markets typically show sharper, more reactive pricing during breaking news or lineup changes, while sportsbooks may lag slightly. Tracking both sources helps identify arbitrage opportunities and consensus strength.
On Kalshi, the Atlanta vs New York M: First Inning Run market is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from $0 to $1, with the current price reflecting the market's collective belief in that outcome's probability. Kalshi's order-book model allows you to place limit or market orders, and your position updates in real time as new trades execute. The spread between bid and ask prices tightens as volume increases, making the market more liquid and easier to enter or exit positions near fair value.
The Atlanta vs New York M: First Inning Run market resolves on Jun 13, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official outcome of the first inning in the scheduled game between Atlanta and New York. The market will settle based on whether a run is scored during that inning and which team, if applicable, scores it. Once the first inning concludes and official statistics are recorded, the market locks in and payouts are distributed to winning position holders. Check the event details for any specific outcome definitions or tie-breaking rules.
Several factors can shift odds for the Atlanta vs New York M: First Inning Run before Jun 13, 2026. Starting pitcher announcements or injuries to key batters and pitchers will influence run-scoring expectations. Weather conditions, ballpark dimensions, and recent team performance trends also matter. Lineup changes, bullpen availability, and head-to-head matchup history between these teams can trigger rapid repricing. Breaking news about player health, trades, or roster moves often sparks immediate trading activity. As game time approaches, final weather updates and last-minute lineup confirmations typically drive the sharpest price movements on Kalshi.