TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 1:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either team will score a run in the first inning of the Atlanta vs Minnesota professional baseball game. On Kalshi, the current probability for this outcome stands at 36.0%. The market resolution is based on the game's official results. Watch for the scheduled start on August 19, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, as this will determine whether a run is scored in the first inning.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Atlanta vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are driven by trader sentiment rather than set by bookmakers. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors or adjust lines for balancing action, the prediction market price here represents a crowdsourced outlook on which team is more likely to score first.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by which team scores the first run in the first inning of the game, and the market will close immediately after that inning concludes.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher announcements, weather delays affecting game timing, injury updates for key batters, and early-game momentum shifts once the game begins. Any development that changes the perceived likelihood of which team will score first can cause rapid price movements on Kalshi as traders react.