TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams scheduled for a specific date and time. It remains active if the game is postponed briefly but resolves fairly if the contest is canceled or rescheduled too far in the future. The result depends solely on which team wins the game as played or rescheduled within the allowed window.
The market resolves based on the result of the professional baseball game between Atlanta and Miami originally scheduled for September 26, 2026, at 4:10 PM EDT. If Atlanta wins the game—as originally scheduled or following a postponement or delay that occurs within two days of the original date—the Atlanta market resolves to Yes, and the Miami market resolves to No. Conversely, if Miami wins under the same conditions, the Miami market resolves to Yes, and the Atlanta market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed or delayed beyond two days of the original schedule date, or if the game is canceled outright, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The market operator explicitly states it is not affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new data than traditional sportsbooks, as they are driven by continuous trading activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of each outcome in the Atlanta vs Miami game.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Atlanta vs Miami game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome will be declared the winner and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 26, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in team performance, weather conditions, and even significant news coverage could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements regarding team strategies or player availability would likely cause noticeable price movements. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by trading activity on Kalshi.