TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 9:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Miami baseball team will win their game against Atlanta. Currently, Kalshi gives Miami a 75.0% probability of winning, while Atlanta is at 24.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, as determined by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Miami wins the contest scheduled for September 25, 2026.
Markets resolve according to the winning team of the designated professional baseball matchup. Postponements or delays keep markets open until the game is played within two days of the original schedule. Cancellations or reschedules exceeding this timeframe lead to fair price resolution. Kalshi explicitly states no official connection to the governing league, with all branding belonging to respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets can sometimes become more accurate as the event approaches, incorporating a wider range of insights and potentially identifying mispriced outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in response to changing conditions. The current price of a contract indicates how much it costs to take a position on a specific result of the Atlanta vs Miami game.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Atlanta vs Miami game, as officially recorded and reported by a trusted source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is interpreting the latest developments and potential impacts on the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all influence trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also drive price movements. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on a particular outcome – could indicate informed traders are taking a strong position, prompting others to adjust their views. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the Atlanta vs Miami game.