TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 10:08 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on determining whether one team will dominate the final quarter of a football game by a specific margin. Each outcome depends solely on the point differential scored during the fourth quarter, ignoring any points from earlier periods or overtime.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point difference scored in the fourth quarter of the designated Atlanta vs. Miami Pro Football game, with overtime points excluded. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team secures a lead exceeding the specified threshold for that market—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points—during regulation time of the fourth quarter alone. No market considers overall game results, earlier quarters, or overtime scoring. Each threshold represents an independent measure of dominance in the final quarter, allowing participants to assess varying degrees of potential fourth-quarter performance.
Prediction market odds in this market reflect what traders are willing to pay based on their expectations for the Atlanta-Miami game’s fourth quarter spread, while sportsbook odds incorporate broader public betting trends and house margins. On Kalshi, you might see different implied probabilities compared to traditional sportsbooks, since prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes without a bookmaker setting the lines. This difference can highlight where informed traders diverge from general fan sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics, specifically the point differential in the fourth quarter, and will be finalized once the data is publicly available and confirmed.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting the game, and strategic decisions by coaches can all influence this market. Strong fourth-quarter performances, momentum shifts, or changes in player rotations may cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment. Any breaking news or lineup updates closer to game time are likely to create volatility in the market price.