TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 8:41 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the point differential between Atlanta and Miami specifically during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market has a different threshold for how many points the winning team must score more than the opponent to settle the bet.
The markets collectively assess whether Miami or Atlanta secures a second-quarter victory by exceeding various point margins in the contest scheduled for August 28, 2026. Each market specifies a distinct threshold—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points—for the winning team's lead. Resolution hinges exclusively on points scored during the second quarter, with all markets sharing this temporal constraint. The outcome for each market is determined independently based on whether the actual point differential meets or exceeds its respective threshold, allowing for varied resolutions across the set of markets depending on the game's progression in that quarter.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook spreads due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders may price in nuances like recent team performance or injury updates more dynamically. While sportsbooks set fixed lines based on broader public betting trends, this market adjusts continuously as new data emerges. The resulting odds can therefore appear more volatile or reflective of specialized insights compared to standard sportsbook offerings.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the actual point spread in the second quarter of the game, closing all bets once official scores are published and validated.
Several key developments could shift this market before Aug 29, 2026. Major player injuries or coaching changes might alter expectations for Atlanta or Miami’s second-quarter performance. High-profile performances in preceding games, or unexpected strategic adjustments by either team, may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, broader narratives such as playoff implications or motivational factors for both teams could impact pricing dynamics as the event approaches.