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OPEN INTEREST:
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406,019
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 24, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson will exceed 80 rushing yards in their game against the Green Bay Packers. Currently, the probability of Bijan Robinson achieving 80+ rushing yards on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined based on his official rushing yardage total in the Atlanta vs Green Bay professional football game, as reported according to the resolution source. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve following the conclusion of the match originally scheduled for Sep 24, 2026, with final results expected by the resolution date of 2026-09-25.
All markets resolve based on whether Bijan Robinson achieves specified rushing yard thresholds (ranging from 50+ to 160+) in the Atlanta vs Green Bay professional football game scheduled for September 24, 2026. If Robinson is active for the game but does not take a snap, all markets settle at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once Robinson takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the markets resolve strictly according to the total rushing yards he records during the game. All markets are independent, each corresponding to a different numerical threshold, and resolution for each depends only on whether Robinson meets that exact threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will rise in this market, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and public opinion shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual rushing yards will fall within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders can earn money based on their foresight, and the market price converges toward the true probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics from the Atlanta versus Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual total rushing yards achieved during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct range of rushing yards will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect ranges will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game plan. News regarding offensive line changes or defensive strategies could also impact expectations for rushing yardage. Unexpected shifts in public perception, driven by analyst predictions or social media discussion, can also create movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of different rushing yardage totals has the potential to move this market.