TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 10:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the 21st point first in an upcoming professional football game between Atlanta and Green Bay. It considers scenarios where either team reaches the milestone or if neither team achieves it within the game's duration. The outcome depends solely on the scoring sequence during the match.
The event determines the first team to reach 21 points in the Atlanta vs Green Bay professional football game scheduled for September 24, 2026. If Green Bay scores 21 points before Atlanta, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Atlanta reaches 21 points first, its market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this scoring threshold by the end of regulation or overtime, the 'Neither Team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled by resolving the market based on the final result if the game commences within 48 hours of its original schedule; otherwise, it resolves to a fair price. All outcomes are determined based on the official game result, including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances in the Falcons-Packers race to 21, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, potentially driving the price away from the sportsbook’s initial offering. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a team reaching 21 points first. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price essentially represents the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of each team achieving the target score, and fluctuates dynamically based on supply and demand among traders.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, if any, reaches 21 points first during the game between the Atlanta Falcons and the Green Bay Packers. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics and reporting to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Falcons or the Packers would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s offensive style, could also move the market. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators and updated statistical projections might influence trader behavior. Finally, even significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in social media or other polls, could contribute to changes in the price of this market.