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OPEN INTEREST:
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399,592
Markets across
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 24, 8:24 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of quarterback Jordan Love in a specific NFL game between Atlanta and Green Bay. They focus on how many passing interceptions Love throws during the match, with different thresholds defining various outcomes. The resolution depends purely on the official game statistics once the game concludes.
The markets evaluate Jordan Love's passing interceptions in the Atlanta vs Green Bay NFL game scheduled for September 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different interception threshold (1+, 2+, or 3+). If Love records the specified number of interceptions or more, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If Love is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once Love takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual number of passing interceptions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation based on in-game performance and pre-game conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of a specific number of interceptions. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information – like injury reports or weather forecasts – becomes available. Analyzing these discrepancies can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing interceptions. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth – the number of contracts available at different price points – indicates how easily large trades can be executed without significantly impacting the price.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown in the Atlanta Falcons versus Green Bay Packers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will pay out to contract holders based on whether the actual number of interceptions matches the outcome they purchased a contract for. The official game statistics will serve as the definitive record for determining the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the prices in this market. Key quarterback injuries on either the Packers or Falcons would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather forecasts – inclement weather often leads to more interceptions. News regarding the opposing teams’ defensive strategies or a team’s recent performance against similar offenses could also move the market. Even late-breaking news about a receiver's ability to get open could affect trader sentiment and contract prices, as all of these elements contribute to the perceived probability of interceptions.