TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 10:50 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the number of passing completions achieved by a quarterback in a specific football game. The outcome depends on whether the player meets or exceeds designated completion thresholds during the match. Settlement is based on official game statistics once the game concludes.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing completions recorded by Jordan Love in the Atlanta vs Green Bay Professional Football game originally scheduled for September 24, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold: 14+, 19+, or 24+ completions. If Love is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Love takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any specific play is nullified by penalty—the market settles according to the actual number of completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all three markets, with each resolving to 'Yes' only if Love meets or exceeds its specific threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights, potentially leading to odds that are more accurate, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and differences can emerge due to varying levels of information and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing completions. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and volume provide insights into the confidence level surrounding each possible result.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing completions in the Atlanta versus Green Bay game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will reflect the total number of passes completed by both teams combined during the game, as recorded by the official league statistics. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement conditions, could also shift expectations regarding passing volume. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence traders’ assessments. Even public sentiment and betting trends observed elsewhere could contribute to price movements in this market.