TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in a specific NFL matchup, using a standardized fantasy points system to determine outcomes.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points scored by specified players or teams during the full duration of the Atlanta vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for September 24, 2026, including any overtime periods. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various statistical categories such as passing/rushing/receiving yards, touchdowns, interceptions, and defensive contributions. Each market has a specific threshold; if the designated player or team exceeds this threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes,' otherwise to 'No.' Players or teams that do not participate or are not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of market expiration are used for resolution, with no rounding applied and no corrections accepted after expiration. This consistent scoring methodology applies uniformly across all markets in this event.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available—such as injury reports or weather forecasts—and as the event draws closer, the prices here may converge with, or diverge from, sportsbook odds. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect the true probabilities of outcomes, particularly as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a potential outcome for the total fantasy points in the Atlanta vs Green Bay game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading contracts accordingly, driving price discovery and reflecting collective intelligence. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a given outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total fantasy points scored by players in the Atlanta vs Green Bay game will be used to determine the winning contract. The official fantasy point totals from a widely recognized fantasy sports provider will serve as the basis for resolution. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total fantasy points will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Atlanta or Green Bay teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting passing or rushing offenses, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also impact predictions. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to traders adjusting their positions and altering the prices in this market.