TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 10:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market requires that both teams manage to put points on the board during the third quarter of regulation play in their football matchup, with all types of scoring plays counted toward this requirement.
If Atlanta and Green Bay both score points in the 3rd quarter of the Atlanta vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows for more direct peer-to-peer trading. As more information becomes available—such as injury reports or weather forecasts—and as the event draws nearer, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, depending on how the market interprets the new data. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both the Falcons and Packers will score in the 3rd quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can set their own bid and ask prices, and the market finds an equilibrium based on supply and demand. Higher prices indicate greater confidence in both teams scoring, while lower prices suggest the opposite. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Atlanta Falcons and the Green Bay Packers score at least one point during the third quarter of their game. Official game statistics from a trusted source will be used to determine if both teams met this condition. The final price on Kalshi at resolution will reflect the market's collective prediction about this outcome, and traders will be paid out or required to pay based on their positions.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Falcons or the Packers would likely cause movement, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting conditions that favor either offense or defense. Significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or in-game performance during the first half of the game could also lead to adjustments in the price of contracts on Kalshi as traders react to new information.