TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 8:47 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which Green Bay player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game against Atlanta. Each market is tied to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by the game's early scoring events.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified Green Bay player or unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes a snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to whether that player scores the first touchdown. If no Green Bay touchdowns are scored in the entire game, the 'No Green Bay Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific and defensive unit markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each participant.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing each potential player to score the first touchdown. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that player scoring first, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, injuries, and other relevant information. This means the price of a contract can fluctuate rapidly, especially closer to the event start time, providing opportunities for informed traders to capitalize on perceived mispricings.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which player officially scores the first touchdown in the Atlanta versus Green Bay game, as recorded by official game statistics. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding a contract for the player who scores first will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for other players will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for Green Bay, would likely cause substantial shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or wind, could also impact the expected offensive strategies and influence which player is favored to score. Additionally, late-breaking news about team formations or play-calling tendencies could move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also signal new information or a change in market sentiment.