TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 8:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which Atlanta player or defensive unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game against Green Bay. It includes scenarios where no touchdown is scored by Atlanta, allowing bettors to speculate on offensive performance and player involvement.
The event determines whether a specified Atlanta player or the team's defense scores the first touchdown in the game against Green Bay. Each market corresponds to a specific Atlanta player or the defensive unit, with the outcome resolving to 'Yes' if that entity scores the first touchdown. A separate 'No Touchdown' market resolves to 'Yes' if Atlanta fails to score any touchdowns during the game. If a listed player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes a snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on whether that player scores the first touchdown. If no Atlanta touchdowns are scored, the 'No Touchdown' market wins, and all individual player markets resolve to 'No'. The markets are independent, and only one can resolve to 'Yes' per game, either for a specific player, the defense, or the 'No Touchdown' scenario.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd disagrees with experts, potentially highlighting undervalued or overvalued opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a potential player to score the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that player being the first to score, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating higher confidence in that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all traders.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by identifying which player scored the first touchdown in the Atlanta versus Green Bay game. The official game statistics will be used to verify the result. The resolution process focuses on objective, publicly available data to ensure a transparent and accurate outcome for this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for either team, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest conditions favorable to a particular offensive style, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or player matchups could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities, driving price movements in this market.