TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled, with focus on whether either team scores a run during the opening inning.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Atlanta vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 11, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader consensus and differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they are set by decentralized market participants rather than oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like Kalshi price outcomes based on collective belief. For the Atlanta vs Chicago first-inning run event, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd's conviction diverges from professional bookmaking estimates.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Atlanta vs Chicago WS: First Inning Run contract is priced between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents a one-percent probability. Traders buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in whether a run scores in the first inning. The market price reflects the collective forecast of all active traders on Kalshi. As new information emerges—such as starting pitcher announcements or lineup changes—the price adjusts in real time to reflect updated market expectations for this World Series matchup.
The Atlanta vs Chicago WS: First Inning Run market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, after the first inning of the World Series game concludes. The outcome is determined by whether at least one run crosses home plate during the first inning of play. Once the inning ends, the result is locked in and the market settles accordingly. Traders holding positions aligned with the actual outcome receive their winnings, while opposing positions expire worthless.
Several catalysts could shift odds for the Atlanta vs Chicago first-inning run market. Starting pitcher announcements and bullpen availability updates impact run-scoring expectations. Weather conditions—wind direction, temperature, and humidity—affect ball carry and offensive output. Lineup changes, injury reports, and recent offensive form of leadoff hitters and early-order batters influence first-inning scoring probability. Breaking news about team strategy or historical first-inning performance trends in this World Series matchup could also prompt traders to adjust positions before the game begins.