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OPEN INTEREST:
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400,720
Markets across
30,097
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 10:25 PM EST
Kalshi
Atlanta plays against Chicago C in a professional baseball game on September 15, 2026. Should the teams be tied at the end of the nine scheduled innings, they will play additional innings to produce a definitive result. The event's outcome is determined by whether the game necessitates this prolonged competition.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Atlanta vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of an outcome. Discrepancies can emerge as new information becomes available or as different groups of people analyze the game. Examining these differences can provide insights into where the market may be finding an edge compared to traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each possible result in the Atlanta vs Chicago extra innings game.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the Atlanta vs Chicago game goes into extra innings as determined by official game results. The final score and official game statistics will be used to verify the outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Atlanta or Chicago teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, updates on pitching matchups or late-breaking lineup changes could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Overall game performance during the initial innings could also drive activity in this market as traders react to unfolding events.