TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 10:24 PM EST
Kalshi
Atlanta battles Chicago C in what could be a tightly fought contest. If neither side establishes an insurmountable advantage within the allotted nine innings, the game will continue into extra frames. The market outcome is determined solely by whether play stretches beyond the scheduled duration.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Atlanta vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. If you observe a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast. The closer we get to the event, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived certainty of the result.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Atlanta vs Chicago baseball game, specifically whether the game went to extra innings. The platform will verify the final score and determine which outcome aligns with the conditions of the market. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Atlanta or Chicago teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a potential postponement or affect playing conditions, could also move the market. Furthermore, updates on pitching matchups, team performance in recent games, and even public sentiment – as reflected in social media or expert analysis – can all contribute to shifts in trader behavior and, consequently, the market price.