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Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls - First Team to Score
kalshi
polymarket

Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls - First Team to Score

Volume:
$19,247

Over 6.5 1Q points scored

 - Kalshi

Over 6.5 1Q points scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 7:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 6.5 1Q points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,384
N/A
N/A
$2,175
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 1Q points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,509
N/A
N/A
$1,509
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New York Red Bulls

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 1Q points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,978
N/A
N/A
$4,200
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 10.5 1Q points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,798
N/A
N/A
$1,380
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 21.5 1Q points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,161
N/A
N/A
$1,161
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 14.5 1Q points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$783
N/A
N/A
$783
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 13.5 1Q points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$753
N/A
N/A
$753
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 24.5 1Q points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$660
N/A
N/A
$660
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 20.5 1Q points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$651
N/A
N/A
$651
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 17.5 1Q points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$650
N/A
N/A
$650
Settled
No
polymarket

Atlanta United FC

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$386
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This event group tracks the prediction market for which team will score first in the upcoming match between Atlanta United FC and New York Red Bulls, scheduled for August 15, 2026. The markets will resolve based on whether Atlanta United FC, New York Red Bulls, or neither team scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve based on the same core criteria: first team to score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with "Neither" as the outcome if no goals are scored or the match is canceled.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve to "Atlanta United FC" if they score the first goal within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • Resolve to "New York Red Bulls" if they score the first goal within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • Resolve to "Neither" if no team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, or if the match is canceled without a make-up game.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Market remains open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: Market resolves to "Neither" if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game.
  • Extra Time and Penalty Shoot-outs: These periods are excluded from resolution; only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes, based on official statistics or credible reporting if official data is delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Atlanta United FC and New York Red Bulls, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta United FC" if Atlanta United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "New York Red Bulls" if New York Red Bulls are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

These markets evaluate whether the combined points scored by Denver and Atlanta in the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for August 14, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market features a unique threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. For any given market to resolve as 'Yes,' the total points scored by both teams during the first quarter must surpass the market's threshold. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward these markets, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The markets are not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Atlanta United first goal market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of which team scores first. It displays consensus probabilities, volume of $19,247, and 24-hour volume of $16,592 across platforms. This centralized view helps users compare outlooks and spot trends as the match approaches, with all data updating live based on trading activity and shifting sentiment.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading mechanics between Polymarket and Kalshi can create price gaps for this market. Each platform attracts distinct participant demographics and may experience varying levels of volume — $19,247 versus $16,592 — which influences how quickly prices adjust to new information. Additionally, each venue may apply unique fee structures or design choices that affect overall market efficiency and price discovery.

Injuries to key attackers, weather delays, or strategic lineup changes could shift this market as the match approaches. Strong recent form for either attack, head-to-head history, or even late-breaking coaching decisions may cause traders to reassess probabilities. Any development that alters the perceived likelihood of who scores first can trigger rapid price swings on both platforms.