TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional MLS soccer match between Atlanta United FC and Columbus Crew scheduled for April 4, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three separate binary outcomes: Columbus win, Atlanta win, draw) and Kalshi (one catch-all market covering all three outcomes). Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market structure mismatch between platforms. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets for each outcome (Columbus Win, Atlanta Win, Draw), while Kalshi uses a single catch-all market that resolves Yes for any match completion. The underlying resolution criteria (90 minutes plus stoppage time, official MLS statistics) are unified, but the settlement mechanics differ.Hero Tip:
Understand that these are not directly comparable markets. On Polymarket, you must pick one outcome per market and manage three separate positions. On Kalshi, the Yes resolution is nearly automatic if the match occurs and completes within 90+stoppage time. Use Polymarket for outcome-specific bets; use Kalshi primarily as a match-completion confirmation. Watch for the unique Polymarket Draw cancellation rule: if the match is canceled with no make-up, the Draw market resolves Yes while Columbus and Atlanta markets resolve No.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets. Columbus Crew market: Yes if Columbus wins, No otherwise. Atlanta United market: Yes if Atlanta wins, No otherwise. Draw market: Yes if match ends in a draw, No otherwise. All use MLS official statistics as primary source (within 2 hours post-match) or credible reporting consensus. Cancellation with no make-up: Draw resolves Yes, Columbus and Atlanta resolve No. Postponement keeps market open until completion.Kalshi:
Single unified market covering all three outcomes (Tie, Atlanta win, Columbus win). Market resolves Yes if any of these three outcomes occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Implicitly resolves No only if match is canceled or does not occur. No explicit cancellation or postponement rules stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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