TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 8:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for July 10 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for July 10 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges closer to game time. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents), representing the implied probability that the Braves or Cardinals will lead after five innings. As traders buy and sell shares, the price adjusts dynamically. The spread between bid and ask prices reflects current liquidity and uncertainty, tightening when volume is high and widening during slower periods.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the first five innings of the game are complete and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team has the higher score after exactly five innings have been played. No extra innings or tie-breaking rules apply at this stage. Resolution is straightforward and based on the official game record.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, weather updates, and recent team performance trends. Starting pitcher matchups and bullpen availability can significantly shift expectations for early-inning scoring. Betting action and sharp money flowing into one side may signal professional confidence. Real-time game events—early runs, defensive plays, or momentum shifts in the first few innings—will drive rapid repricing as traders react to live developments and adjust their positions accordingly.