TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 8:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for July 10 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for July 10 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit from accurate forecasts. Sportsbook odds typically incorporate sharp professional input and real-time adjustments to manage liability. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate the collective beliefs of a broader crowd. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment differs from professional oddsmaking, though both aim to reflect the true probability of outcomes.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the game concludes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public reporting. The specific result—whether it concerns first-inning scoring or another game event—will be confirmed through official sources and standard sports data. Resolution is automatic once the event occurs and the information is publicly available. Traders should monitor the game closely as the resolution date approaches to ensure they understand which outcome has occurred and how it applies to their positions.
Several factors could shift prices before resolution. Lineup announcements, injury reports, or weather conditions affecting play can alter trader expectations about scoring and game flow. Betting action at sportsbooks and social media sentiment may also influence market participants. Real-time game developments—such as early scoring or pitching changes—will likely trigger sharp repricing as new information arrives. Major news about either team's roster or recent performance could reshape how traders assess probabilities. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate market moves and adjust their positions accordingly.