TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants?

Volume:
$2,186,569

Over 4.5 runs scored

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 6:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 4.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$525,016
N/A
N/A
$220,102
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$255,996
N/A
N/A
$109,627
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$37,267
N/A
N/A
$15,051
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,044
N/A
N/A
$8,477
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$396,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$215,392
N/A
N/A
$149,133
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93,913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$194,936
N/A
N/A
$49,075
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$174,284
N/A
N/A
$83,588
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 8.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$103,022
N/A
N/A
$69,817
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,009
N/A
N/A
$17,885
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 10.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,345
N/A
N/A
$19,115
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,160
N/A
N/A
$10,796
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,808
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,946
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$967
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 32

Intro

This market tracks whether the Atlanta Braves versus San Francisco Giants game will extend beyond nine innings. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows 100.0% probability for extra innings occurring. Resolution will be determined by official MLB.com scores. Watch for the game's conclusion on June 28, 2026, when the final score is recorded to determine if the contest goes to extra innings.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi presents 11 independent over/under markets on combined runs with different thresholds (1.5 through 11.5), while Polymarket offers a single O/U 7.5 market. The Kalshi structure creates logical redundancy and potential settlement ambiguity, though both platforms ultimately resolve based on the same underlying event (final combined run total).Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket's O/U 7.5 as the standard reference point. If trading Kalshi's multiple thresholds, recognize that they are not mutually exclusive outcomes—only one final combined score will occur, making all Kalshi markets with thresholds below that score resolve Yes and all above it resolve No. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether these 11 markets are intended as a ladder product or independent binary markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Single O/U 7.5 market: resolves Over if Atlanta and San Francisco combine for 8 or more runs, Under if less than 8. Clean binary outcome. Source: MLB.com official final statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
  • Kalshi: Eleven separate Yes/No markets on combined runs: thresholds are 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5, 10.5, 11.5. Each resolves Yes if combined score exceeds the threshold. This creates mathematical redundancy (e.g., if final score is 8, then 1.5–7.5 all resolve Yes, 8.5–11.5 all resolve No).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for June 28 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the total combined runs scored by Atlanta and San Francisco in the game originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. Each outcome corresponds to a specific run threshold, with resolution to Yes if the combined total exceeds that threshold. The thresholds range progressively from 1.5 runs through 11.5 runs, allowing bettors to wager on different levels of offensive output in the matchup.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi differ from traditional sportsbooks in that traders directly set odds through supply and demand rather than oddsmakers posting fixed lines. This market-driven approach often reflects sharper, more dynamic pricing because participants have real capital at stake and can update positions instantly. Sportsbooks, by contrast, manage liability and build in margins. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal which venue undervalues or overvalues the outcome, creating opportunities for informed bettors.

Polymarket and Kalshi may price this market differently due to variations in user base composition, liquidity depth, and fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with distinct risk tolerances and information sets, so consensus prices can lag or lead depending on which venue sees fresh order flow first. Additionally, contract specifications—such as rounding rules or payout mechanics—can subtly influence how participants value the same outcome, causing temporary or persistent spreads between the two platforms.

Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, bullpen availability updates, and weather forecasts that could influence scoring. Lineup changes, manager decisions, and recent team performance streaks often shift trader sentiment sharply. Breaking news about player suspensions or roster moves can trigger rapid repricing. Additionally, early-game momentum—runs scored in the first few innings—typically drives intraday volatility as traders update their expectations based on live action and adjust positions accordingly.