TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 9:40 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and San Diego Padres, scheduled for June 23 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and San Diego Padres, scheduled for June 23 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and supply-and-demand dynamics. This market aggregates the views of thousands of independent forecasters with real money at stake, which can reveal insights that differ from traditional oddsmakers. Neither is inherently more accurate, but comparing the two can highlight where market consensus and professional bookmakers disagree on this matchup.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the proportion of capital allocated to it; if more traders believe the Braves will win, the share price for that outcome rises, and vice versa. This continuous pricing mechanism means odds update in real time as new trades flow in. The spread between bid and ask prices can vary depending on liquidity and recent trading activity, giving active participants opportunities to enter or exit positions throughout the market's lifetime.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the game is complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the matchup; there is no draw or tie option in baseball. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final out, allowing traders to see results quickly and the platform to settle winning and losing shares. Early resolution is possible if the game is called or postponed under official league rules.
Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, and recent team performance trends leading into game day. Weather conditions at the stadium, starting pitcher matchups, and home-field advantage can all shift trader sentiment. Breaking news about player availability or lineup decisions often triggers sharp price movements as new information reaches the market. Additionally, betting action from professional syndicates or sudden shifts in public interest can amplify volatility. Monitoring sports news and team updates in the days before the game helps traders stay ahead of price adjustments.