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$134b

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$103,397,351

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Who will win Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates?

Volume:
$1,449,767

Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 15, 6:40 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$163,622
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

View
N/A
N/A
—
$12,100
$5,191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 2.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$133,013
N/A
N/A
$68,787
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$685
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,088
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$268,973
N/A
N/A
$194,243
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$128,810
N/A
N/A
$75,004
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$126,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 8.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94,848
N/A
N/A
$57,521
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$124,434
N/A
N/A
$19,026
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 4.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$123,384
N/A
N/A
$62,558
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$95,563
N/A
N/A
$48,498
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$741
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43,616
N/A
N/A
$28,586
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,914
N/A
N/A
$16,045
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 10.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,956
N/A
N/A
$18,279
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 12.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,547
N/A
N/A
$9,273
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 37

Intro

This market tracks the over/under on total runs scored in the Atlanta Braves versus Pittsburgh Pirates MLB game scheduled for July 8, 2026. The consensus probability across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict shows 100.0% for the over/under 3.5 outcome. Resolution will be determined by official MLB final statistics published on MLB.com, with credible reporting consensus serving as backup if official statistics are not released within 24 hours of game conclusion. Watch for the final game result on July 8, 2026, which will settle all run-total markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All three platforms (Polymarket, Predict, Kalshi) apply identical resolution logic: official MLB statistics as primary source, 24-hour publication window, postponement handling (remain open), cancellation handling (50-50 split), and tie/extra-inning edge cases handled per market type.Primary resolution logic: Official MLB final statistics (MLB.com); credible reporting consensus if official statistics not published within 24 hours of game conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game; 50-50 if canceled with no makeup or ends in tie
  • Run total markets (full game and first 5 innings) resolve Over if combined runs meet or exceed stated threshold, Under if below
  • Spread markets resolve based on run differential at specified point (end of game or end of 5th inning); ties resolve against the spread
  • First-inning scoring resolves Yes if any run scored in 1st inning, No if none
  • Extra-innings market resolves Yes if play begins in any inning after regulation (10th inning or later in standard 9-inning game), No otherwise; 50-50 if game ends in tie before extra innings
  • Postponed games remain open until completion; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game Postponement: Market remains open until the postponed game is completed. Bettors should check the home team's (Pittsburgh Pirates) schedule on MLB.com for makeup game details.
  • Game Cancellation: If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between outcomes).
  • Tie Game: Moneyline resolves 50-50. Spread markets resolve against the spread (e.g., Braves -1.5 resolves to Pirates if tied). Extra-innings market resolves 50-50 if game ends in tie before extra innings begin.
  • Spread Tie at 5 Innings: For 5-inning spread markets: if game is tied at end of 5th inning, market resolves against the spread (e.g., Braves -1.5 resolves to Pirates, Pirates -1.5 resolves to Braves).
  • Statistics Publication Delay: If MLB does not publish official final statistics within 24 hours of game conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing: Resolution occurs after game completion (or 5th inning completion for 5-inning markets). For postponed games, resolution is delayed until makeup game is played. Statistics must be published or consensus established within 24 hours of game conclusion for final settlement.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for July 8 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The Atlanta vs Pittsburgh game scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT will be evaluated based on the combined total runs scored by both teams. Resolution occurs when the sum of runs scored by Atlanta and Pittsburgh exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 2.5 to 12.5 runs. Each threshold represents a distinct market outcome, with Yes resolution triggered if the combined total surpasses the stated threshold by the end of the completed game.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for July 8 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price games differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief—there's no house edge or vig. This market aggregates trader conviction across multiple platforms, which often diverges from traditional sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can reveal where sharp bettors see value or where public sentiment differs from professional oddsmakers. Both data sources are useful for forming a complete view of game probabilities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have different user bases with varying levels of baseball expertise or risk appetite. Timing differences in when large trades execute, variations in platform UI and accessibility, and distinct market-making incentives can all widen the spread between the two. These differences typically narrow as the event approaches and arbitrage opportunities attract traders seeking to profit from the gap.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements to star players, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Weather conditions on game day, bullpen availability, and last-minute lineup adjustments can all shift trader conviction. Betting action from sharp money or sudden volume spikes on either platform may signal new information entering the market. Breaking news about player health or team strategy in the days leading up to the game will likely trigger repricing as traders update their forecasts.