TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-16 23:40 UTC: If the Atlanta Braves win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves". If the Chicago Cubs win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-16 23:40 UTC: If the Atlanta Braves win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves". If the Chicago Cubs win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin, and may be influenced by promotional considerations. This market, however, represents the aggregate wisdom of crowd predictions on Opinion. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, prediction markets can quickly adjust to new information and potentially offer more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as more volume is traded.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the implied probability of each outcome, allowing participants to assess potential value and make informed trading decisions. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, leading to dynamic price fluctuations.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Atlanta Braves versus Chicago Cubs game. The winning team, as determined by the official game statistics, will be the basis for settlement. This market provides an opportunity to predict the result of this specific baseball game and benefit from the collective intelligence of the Opinion community. The outcome will be determined by the final score of the game.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, starting pitcher changes, or weather forecasts impacting the game could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports on team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment. As the game day approaches, even minor updates or analysis from sports analysts could trigger price adjustments in this market, reflecting the evolving expectations of traders on Opinion.