TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how decisively either team wins the final quarter of a football game between the Atlanta Falcons and Pittsburgh Steelers. It focuses solely on performance during the last quarter, ignoring earlier periods or overtime scenarios.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential in the fourth quarter of the designated game between the Atlanta Falcons and Pittsburgh Steelers, with overtime excluded. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold: if the Pittsburgh Steelers win the fourth quarter by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, 2.5, or 1.5 points, the respective market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Atlanta Falcons win the fourth quarter by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during regulation play in the fourth quarter count; any points scored in overtime are disregarded for all markets. The outcome hinges entirely on the margin of victory within that specific timeframe, with no consideration given to the overall game result or earlier quarters.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market represents what traders collectively believe will happen. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market finds value compared to traditional betting outlets, and whether public sentiment aligns with professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 4th quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades result in financial gains. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time view of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread in the 4th quarter of the Atlanta Falcons versus Pittsburgh Steelers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics available from established sports data providers. The market will settle to 100 if the spread matches the contract's value, and proportionally less if it does not. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Falcons or Steelers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable playing conditions, could also impact the spread. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift trader sentiment. Even public perception, driven by media coverage or social media discussions, can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.