TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:07 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the outcome of the second quarter in an upcoming football game between the Atlanta Falcons and the Pittsburgh Steelers. Each market assesses different point spreads to determine which team will have a decisive lead by the end of the quarter.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between the Atlanta Falcons and Pittsburgh Steelers exclusively during the second quarter of their scheduled game on September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, with outcomes determined by whether the winning team exceeds that threshold by more than the stated margin. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward the resolution, ensuring that the analysis remains focused solely on that period of play. The markets cover a range of spreads from over 1.5 points up to over 10.5 points for each team, allowing for varied predictions of the quarter's competitive balance. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own insights and information. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see this market incorporate information faster than traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the Steelers-Falcons 2nd quarter spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the Steelers will win the 2nd quarter by more than that spread. As more traders buy contracts predicting a Steelers win, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and reflect the collective beliefs of the traders participating in this market for the Steelers-Falcons 2nd quarter spread.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the second quarter between the Steelers and Falcons will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will determine whether the Steelers won the 2nd quarter by more than the specified spread, and contracts predicting that outcome will settle at $1.00. All other contracts will settle at $0.00, reflecting the actual result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Steelers or Falcons, particularly the quarterback or key defensive players, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they favor one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from respected sports analysts that shifts public perception of the likely outcome of the Steelers-Falcons 2nd quarter spread could lead to price fluctuations.