TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:16 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate whether the combined scoring in the second half of an upcoming football game between the Atlanta Falcons and Pittsburgh Steelers exceeds various thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the potential pace and outcome of the game's latter stages.
The markets resolve based on whether the total points scored by both the Atlanta Falcons and Pittsburgh Steelers in the second half of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second half of regulation time, with overtime points excluded from the calculation. If the combined score meets or exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The thresholds progressively increase, offering varied levels of difficulty for achieving a Yes outcome.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. You might find that this market’s implied probability differs from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise from differing analytical approaches or the influence of factors not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It’s a valuable exercise to compare the two, as they each offer unique insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract indicates the probability of the event occurring – in this case, the total points scored in the second half being over or under the specified line. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts (over), the price increases, and vice versa for 'no' contracts (under). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news, injuries, or other relevant developments, constantly adjusting the perceived likelihood of different outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second half of the Falcons-Steelers game will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded or fell short of the line established when the market was created. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available shortly after the game concludes. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Falcons or the Steelers would likely cause movement, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect scoring. Significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or late-breaking news, could also influence trading activity. In-game events during the first half, such as a dominant performance by one team, could also lead to adjustments in the price of contracts as traders reassess the likely outcome for the second half.