TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:16 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points the Atlanta Falcons and Pittsburgh Steelers score together in the first quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle as 'Yes'. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward these outcomes.
The markets assess whether the combined points scored by the Atlanta Falcons and Pittsburgh Steelers in the first quarter of their game scheduled for September 13, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market defines a unique point total threshold—from 3.5 to 24.5 points—that must be surpassed for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the first quarter of play, with no credit given for points scored in subsequent quarters. The thresholds progressively increase, offering varied levels of difficulty for achieving a 'Yes' outcome. These markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, whereas this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders bid and ask for contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total points scored in the first quarter. The price of a contract reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time estimation of expectations, driven entirely by trader activity.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the first quarter of the Falcons-Steelers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official scoring data from the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the first quarter total will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective, publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Falcons or the Steelers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-game commentary, could lead to adjustments in the market price. Unexpected line movements in sportsbooks could also prompt traders to reassess their positions.