TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
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24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:07 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point differentials for the first half of an upcoming professional football game between the Atlanta Falcons and the Pittsburgh Steelers. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team might win the first half, reflecting different levels of scoring advantage.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential of the first half of the designated Pro Football game between the Atlanta Falcons and Pittsburgh Steelers scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory; if the actual margin exceeds the stated threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the first half are considered for resolution purposes. The markets cover a range of margins from over 1.5 points up to over 13.5 points for either team, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of dominance in the opening half.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, as traders react to news and analysis. However, the difference between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can vary significantly depending on the event and the level of public interest.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the Steelers winning the first half by more than 9.5 points, or the Falcons covering the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first-half point spread result from the NFL game between the Atlanta Falcons and the Pittsburgh Steelers will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official statistics reported by the NFL and will be publicly available. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Falcons or the Steelers could significantly shift the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also play a role. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in expert analysis and media coverage, will also contribute to price movements in this market.